Scenario: A new user sees a link to a market on Twitter or Reddit, clicks it to visit Manifold.

Goal: Sign up.

Metric: conversion rate (view ⇒ sign up)

• Currently 2.6%

Action items:

• [x] Remove side bar when signed out?

  • Or at least don’t make “Sign in” have same prominence as “Sign up”

• [ ] A/B test different layouts, copy

• Signed out UI