Why use manifold?

Manifold’s play-money prediction markets let you connect with your audience in a way that’s fun, interactive, and easy to use. Think of it as an ongoing social game you and your audience can play together; where information learned on your stream has value to the game.

Examples of markets that integrate content and Manifold effectively:

https://manifold.markets/VictorForsgren/will-destiny-beat-factorio-space-ex?r=R2Vu

https://manifold.markets/LexFridman/will-lex-fridman-interview-vladimir-0cc5888760ac?r=R2Vu

https://manifold.markets/Apencer/will-destiny-cover-the-mr-girl-mani?r=R2Vu

Markets excel when they seem predictable but are polarizing. Drama markets, and markets with well defined end-dates generate the most excitement for traders. You are also encouraged to manipulate markets, insider trade, and leak information to your live viewers that might give them an edge over less attentive traders.

There are 3 main market formats

  1. Yes/No markets
  2. Multiple choice (1 correct answer)
  3. Independent multiple choice (any amount of correct answers)

Multiple choice markets can be setup so that only the creator can submit answers, or so any user can submit their own answers, and then the market creator can resolve them.

The play money, Mana, can be used to allocate charitable donations via our charity program at a rate of M100 = $1usd. For each user that signs up on your referral link, you will get M250 which you can use to make a donation if you don’t intend to use it on our site.

Existing creator communities

Manifold is currently used by Lex Fridman, Rational Animations, CGP Grey, r/OnePiece users, the Destiny.gg community, and many more.

Once you are set up on the site, you can tag your markets with your own personal topic, so that they can be easily found and filtered. This makes it easier for fans to create markets, as markets tagged within that topic will have increased discoverability for people who show interest in your markets, or follow your topic. Users who sign up from your referral link will automatically follow you, and be more likely to be shown your markets.

Sponsorship

The compensation is made up of two parts

Base Payment for deliverables

  1. Make 3 markets
    1. one market in advance that will last at least a week, which will serve as a landing page and the primary link (~5 min)
    2. at least two more markets created on stream as part of your content (~5 min)