Manifold Markets is a platform for user-created play-money prediction markets. Anyone can set up a betting market to ask a question on any topic from Elon Musk to war in Ukraine to newsletter subscriber rates ****and more! We often use it ourselves to have users predict what new features we will add to the site which can often effect what we do!

Why use Manifold?

Manifold’s play-money prediction markets let you connect with your audience in a way that’s fun, interactive, and easy to use. Think of it as an ongoing social game you and your audience can play together; a Twitter poll on steroids!

A few examples of what questions you can ask:

https://manifold.markets/JamesGrugett/will-the-sequel-to-zelda-breath-of-

https://manifold.markets/Aella/will-i-aella-find-someone-new-to-se

https://manifold.markets/dglid/who-will-win-the-nba-finals-champio

Paid promotion

The aim of this program is to get the community centered around you (the creator) to use Manifold Markets by creating and sharing various markets on Twitter.

Time frame: 3 days - 1 month

Compensation: flat rate payment + bonus $4 per trader (up to $10k)

Deliverables: Create and share 3+ markets

We’re sure you’ll love Manifold, but we recognize that it’s a leap of faith to try out any new platform - especially one you’re considering promoting to your audience. To that end, we’re offering a flat rate to creators based on their audience size.

However, the majority of your compensation is intended to be reflected in the bonus structure and will scale with how many markets you create. We will also provide M$10,000 (our play currency) - roughly equivalent to $100 - which you can use to create your own markets or participate in others.

Requirements

Create at least 3 markets on 3 distinct questions.
1. The markets must be created on a Manifold account after agreeing to this promotion with branding recognizable as your creator persona.
2. Reach out to David (@Hs_SirSalty / [email protected]) if you want help with coming up with ideas/making markets.
3. You agree to resolve the markets in a timely fashion at some future date, e.g. if your market is about the 2024 US presidential election, you must return to the site to resolve your market following that time. (Don’t worry, we’ll send you an email reminder!)
Tweet a link to each of the 3 markets from your main Twitter account.
1. Your tweets should include a brief comment describing the market or enticing your followers to participate.
2. Please space out your posts such that there is at least a day between each.

That’s it! We will pay out the flat rate upon the completion of these steps. We hope that you will continue to use Manifold with your audience, but if you are dissatisfied with your experience, you are under no obligation to keep posting.