May 22, 2023
Multiple choice
Date range: Will X happen in Y month
Key breakdown of 2 market types:
Multi actually seems to encompass almost every market on Manifold
Note, Kalshi uses this by default
Grouping is key — doesn’t have to be “new contract type”, could also frame project as “how to group markets better”
[A] Ability to migrate existing Binary markets into Multiple Choice could be really key; keeping continuity of betting, don’t require creators to get it right up front. Probably v1/v2 though
Creation/Setup
Similar to today, replacing the existing “Multiple Choice”, with some additional options
Eventually, could get rid of Numeric, Yes/No, etc and make multi the default
[A] Templates might be good here; maybe part of market creation overhaul?
Browsing/on feed
Betting/on the market page