nb [j] here = Joshua

• [s] SOTU stream was good!

  • Keep your eyes peeled for political events we could stream

• [j] People liked prop bets with or without the stream

• [s] Maybe disbanding the politics sync over the next weeks, since the dev work is mostly done

• UI changes

  • Inga’s added a graph that looks pretty compelling
  • [j] Most important political thing is incoming VP pick
    • [s] So we should flip it so the VP thing comes above it
      • [iw] copy
  • Removed electability markets, which is good
    • Conditional markets: Need more & spicy markets
      • [j] Set up a bounty for this
  • Design: calling it “conditional markets” is bad. The 2 column flow would be much better
  • Otherwise, the page looks pretty good now.
  • Then, adding the key House races as discussed

• Expecting the next few months to be very slow news-wise

  • [j] Yeah, it’s pretty weird, we already know who the candidates are going to be
  • [iw] Then we can follow the candidates (trump mostly) and highlight their antics

• [j] want to have an unique incentive system for politics

  • e.g. track profit in markets just for politics
    • [s] Could also be tied in with the UI showing what you are betting on. are you net long Biden, Trump? Show the electoral map with how you’re betting
  • [j] Make things shareable. People repost 270-to-win stuff
    • Creating a “your election” page which shows how you are betting, as well as your stats

• Marketing

  • Still waiting to hear back from Nate; he’s received multiple offers to sponsor
    • We’re not making an exclusive bid
  • Are any of David’s reachouts related to politics?
    • [d] not yet, mostly been responding. Next several days has more reachouts. Can ask Destiny — otherwise, not really
    • Doesn’t really have a strong list of political folks to ask
  • [j] If we get debate creators, that’s a perfect match for TV and politics site, prop bets on debates
    • [s] We hosted modern day debates conference last fall; they’ll be doing more politics
      • [d] yeah, reached out but no response. To follow up
    • How often does Destiny stream these days? [d] dunno, probably every day
  • Plan: to allow users to schedule their own TV events and we’ll feature on the TV page

• Any other top pressing things?

  • [j] Could get rid of the democratic VP. Doesn’t really matter, it’s the basically identical to Biden
  • [j] Like the graph, though it’s pretty squished
    • [s] previously showed the full range.
      • [iw] This is meant to just be a smaller thing
  • [j] RealClear, 538 do more smoothing
    • [iw] could try adding smoothing, see if it makes it better
  • [j] Over the next few months, the key things:
    • Trump’s political trials
    • Biden/Trump polling
  • [j] Ultimately, page should focus on the swing states, but it’s also far enough out from the election that we don’t want to do this yet.
    • Goal of the page: Show something separate for Georgia, PA, etc etc
    • [iw] Oh, right now it shows GA, but by default it could show all the swing states by default would be good
      • [j] Yeah seeing swing state odds without clicking in would be good
      • [iw] So if odds are between X and Y percent, slap them on there
        • [jf] Georgia, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, NC, AZ, maybe WI
  • [j] Have been waiting on Numeric markets, thinking about making them for this, but they’re still up in the air, so the binary “Will trump or biden win” might be the focus