There’s been a lot going on lately

• Building Manifold Love
• Running Bet on Love the musical theatre show
• Launching and unlaunching Manifold Politics as an external site
• Manifund’s Community Round

… in addition to running the normal Manifold Markets site (The Migration, core product development).

But in order to succeed as a business, we should aim to do one thing really well. The Egg-Basket Principle says that a startup should put all their eggs in one basket to achieve maximum impact.

There’s no better time than now to refocus and push for the last bit of growth to hit our target for Series A.

Our main site is in a bit of a growth lull.

But it’s easy to forget that we were stuck at ~100 DAU for the first 9 months of Manifold’s existence.

Today, we are at 1700 DAU. Yeah, we’ve come pretty far!

I think it’s entirely within our power to hit 15k DAU (7-day average) by Sept 30th (6 months and 10 days). That would set us up for Series A before the end of the year.

How can we multiply our DAU? We’ve done it before, and I think it was largely through improving the product. But also, through assimilating other communities (e.g. Destiny).

Here are 6 pillars to build on which should allow us to reach our DAU goal:

• Verticals to bring in new users
  • E.g. US Politics, AI, niche media (e.g. Chess, One Piece), Sports
• New user onboarding
  • Iterate based on user interviews and analytics to make the product clearer and easier to get value from