Updates

What got done

What next?

[J] James

• Fix limit order client-side error
• New deal, including community call

James

• Call with Zvi
• 1:1 Sinclair, Ian

[s] Stephen

• announce A New Deal for Manifold

Stephen

• call w zvi
• call w bank
• pivot stuff
  • incl Charity Structuring Loans

[i] Ian

• new deal
• fix fees on numeric selling
• add numeric bet button to feed cards
• update denormalized user comment data in update-user
• wip: diff weights for diff actions in user-topic-interests table

Ian

• finish weights in u-t-i
• 1:1 James, Stephen
• optimize new feed queries

[c] Sinclair

• use portfolio history for leaderboard calculation. rpc instead of direct client!
• double checking the finances. it’s correct :(
• working on revalidation errors.
  • got into a rabbit hole on making ENV domain better

Sinclair

• 1:1 James

[D] David

• Making edits to announcement copy
• In call for several hours
• ‣
  • [a] oops I was also writing to New Deal Discord call
  • [d] np, looks like we mostly cover the same things
• How I would do ‣
• 1:1 Stephen

David

[iw] Inga

• thinking about new ways to format portfolio to include net worth
• working on stacked graph for prizepoints

Inga

• more stacked graph

[JF]

• Trump trial dashboard stuff
• Tiktok dashboard stuff
• Lots of talking to users about pivot
  • [a, i] 🦸‍♂️

Joshua

• a lot of requests from users to N/A markets, got a backlog there
• probably needs to be lots of moderation work in general
• Some mods resigning?

Demos

Discussion

• Pivot announcement and fallouts
  • [s] user response (uniformly distributed)
  • [J] I think we should send an email to users. Otherwise, they might not hear about the changes or check Manifold to see the banner. [d] +1
  • [A] my general proposals from New Deal Discord call
    1. Extend the charity cashout timeframe (to mid-May)
       • I also tentatively think Manifund wants to end the charity program after this
    2. Send out email (as above)
    3. Replace the 10:1 devaluation with an outflow cap
       • [J] No, this is just extending the problem to be with us forever.
       • [J] I don’t even think there’s much of a problem
       • [i] I think the outflow cap is a possible solution but it really depends on how new people would feel about buying mana.
       • [D] New users would think it’s very sketchy if there’s a cap for withdrawing and have less confidence
       • [D] Investors could be worried about liability with the cap
       • [D] However, user trust is pretty important
       • [J] Only acceptable path without the devaluation is if we raise money
    • [J] Should make it more clear that we will honor charity donations, including beyond April
    • [i] Users might be more upset at play money going away, rather than devaluation
    • [c] Should we announce we are trying to raise money to fully back mana
• https://manifold.markets/Joshua/good-pivot-bad-pivot-which-opinions
• [JF] Feel like the value of the time I’ve spent on the site is going down
• [JF] We think this is a good gamble if it works, but what happens if this doesn’t work (legally or otherwise)?
• [J] Email should say anyone can contact us by May 15th to arrange to have their mana donated at 100 to 1 rate