(for twitter)

I'm playing around with new ways of thinking about the work that I do (or want to do).

i'm starting to think "prediction market" is a misleading term. the value Manifold provides is not primarily in seeing the future - but in consensus, agreement, and meaning-making.

trading in tiny markets feels personal, like sitting at a table with friends. it is both more and less clarifying than just talking. its also more info per trader compared to the big markets.

I kinda miss them!

honing the mind so that you can share knowledge with others, in a way that invites them to disagree and share their knowledge too - this is an act of love. but it doesn't feel that way. because I don't know how to say it that way. I make you think that we are fighting.