Previous discussion: Write user stories
I. The Rationalist
- Interested in prediction markets in themselves and broader Rationalist-type concepts of calibration, Bayesianism, and explicit modeling of belief
- Reader of ACX and related blogs
- Wants to participate and create markets on nerdy topics: covid, AI, crypto, etc.
- Interested in improving prediction abilities, gathering data, and demonstrating predictive ability
II. The Boomer
- Doesn’t know or care what prediction markets are
- Enjoys betting on various topics as a game
- Interested in normie topics: sports, politics
- Less likely to be a market creator
III. The Substacker
- Journalist looking to drive engagement among his subscribers and grow his audience
- Uses markets to primarily to drive engagement
- Ideal market creator
- Primary source of traffic to our platform
- Likely focus on wonky topics: policy outcomes, economic indicators, business/financial topics