Context

• dancer staying with ian for a bit
• showed him the browser app on mobile (for home screen)

Ideas:

• more short term markets that are polls and private to only a certain number of people. So you can run them multiple times on different cohorts of people bc they won’t see the resolution of the same market in a different cohort.
  • [A] Interesting to use private markets to limit who can profit off of a question
  • [i] Inspired by creating more consistent questions, daily or weekly question
• Follow could be = copy trader
  • or seperate “follow trades” feature
• Can markets be rewarded more for broad engagement rather than just small niche engagement?

Notes

• signed-out homepage is pretty sensationalist and grim. Would be great to have those markets reflect posivitiy and hope, etc. what the platform wants to convey
  • [A] Interesting — outrage/depressing news does get more attention I think
• Skipped over the ‘what is mana’ buttons because the important things take up the whole screen, while those are 3 different buttons and just outlined, not solid.
  • When he clicked on one, there was an example that used real money for the 2024 democratic election - was very confusing. He thought the site was play money….
• Clicked on a market and scrolled down. Didn’t understand what positions or trades meant. That type of financial lingo is offputting, when he sees financial lingo like trades, shares, etc. he glazes over it.
  • Positions maybe should be stakeholders or holders?
• Clicked on related markets, those were high signal
• Was wondering about the leaderboards even before he signed up, was curious where they were.
  • Wondered why he should care about mana. Figured it would be for bragging rights but couldn’t find the bragging rights leaderboard when signed out
• He signed up, and picked a number of topics: effective altruism, racing, personal development, latin america
• Overall the feed had very few markets of interest. They all seemed like they were made by phds for a few other phds in their department. He didn’t pick AI but effective altruism has a ton of super technical AI questions.
  • He does like the very specific markets though
  • [A] Maybe we should segregate AI topics like Destiny markets. (Also maybe Whalebait)
• Saw personal markets and thought they were mainly noise because he didn’t know the person or care about them.
• Didn’t want to click on any markets until he found a brazil market. Clicked on it and saw it was free response. Loved the idea that you could make/bet on a free response market. Thought everything was just yes/no before seeing the brazil market. Probably would be his favorite markets, loves that you can bet on many different answers.
  • Proceeded to click on related markets to the brazil market, pretty good signal there.
• Most of his feed was bad. He saw a market that was like: ‘will dating apps kill romance’ or something and clicked on it bc it was funny and interesting, left a comment.
• Clicked on a user to see their bragging rights
  • figure the profits were for what they had earned, the other numbers were from quests/etc.
  • Saw that he could follow them
• Went to the leaderboard, then clicked all time. Then clicked on Arae. Wanted to comment on their wall if they had one. Instead clicked follow. Figured he could follow their trades so that he could trade similarly. He wanted to see what topics people trade in so that he could follow a few people in AI, some in internet culture, etc. So he could have a well-rounded portfolio.
  • Follow could be = copy trader!