About Manifold

See also Manifold Markets: Seed Round Memo

Manifold Markets is a platform for user-created prediction markets.

• Creators ask questions about what the future will hold
• Traders bet on the outcome using “mana”, our platform currency
• Viewers find out about how likely different events are to occur

Part video game, part social network, and part news source, Manifold provides a unique and addicting way to engage with the events of the world.

https://manifold.markets/embed/BTE/will-bitcoin-close-the-year-above-1

https://manifold.markets/embed/egroj/will-there-be-85000-confirmed-cases

https://manifold.markets/embed/NathanpmYoung/will-biden-be-the-2024-democratic-n

https://manifold.markets/kolotom99/will-ftx-arena-change-its-name-by-t

Progress since seed round

See also our weekly newsletter and monthly investor updates

• Usage: 10x’d our daily active users from ~100 to ~1000
• Retention: Maintained best-in-class stickiness at >50% D1 retention
• Competition: We’ve eclipsed Kalshi & Polymarket combined in web traffic
• Press: Featured by Scott Alexander (Astral Codex Ten), Byrne Hobart (The Diff), Matt Yglesias (Slow Boring), Alex Tabarrok (Marginal Revolution)
• Team: Grown from 3 founders to 7 FTE & 3 part-timers
• Features: We’ve shipped the majority of our seed round roadmap