https://manifold.markets/home

Introduction to Manifold Markets

Help

Help, Guides & FAQ

Account

News

Community guidelines

Contribute

White Papers

Unresolved markets

Below describes our policy for dealing with markets that have been abandoned by their creators 🥲

Manifold employees reserve the right to resolve a market 7 days after either the closing date or resolution criteria have been met.

We have designated a group of users as trustworthy-ish, you may see their badges on the site. These users also have permission to resolve other users’ closed markets, although are expected to abide by the following policies. Trustworthy-ish users do not have the ability to unresolve markets or change the resolution, only admins have the power to do that.

Trustworthy-ish may resolve on behalf of the creator

All conditions of each scenario must be met to resolve a market.

The following message must be copied and commented by trustworthy-ish users when resolving any market. You may add additional context on why you are resolving it to a specific decision if you wish:

• Message
• Scenario 1:
  • Unambiguous resolution criteria must have been met.
  • 7 days have passed since the criteria were met.
  • There must be no evidence that the creator has used the site in the past 7 days
    • Trustworthy users should check the creator's most recent market creation date, comment, and trade to confirm.
• Scenario 2:
  • Resolution is dependent on personal, unknown, or ambiguous factors.
  • 1 month has passed since the closing date.
  • There must be no evidence that the creator has used the site for at least 6 months.
  • This should result in a N/A resolution.

Trustworthy-ish may NOT resolve

If the following occurs, attempts should be made to @mention the creator or dm them. If this fails an Admin may be tagged to make a decision/contact the creator.

• Scenario 3:
  • 14 days have passed since resolution criteria were met.
  • There ARE signs that the creator has been active.
• Scenario 4:
  • The market is still open (and not closed).

If you suspect any trustworthy-ish user is resolving markets in a way that does not abide by these policies please either email [email protected] or tag one of the Manifold staff in Discord.

Changelog

April 12, 2023 - Reduced wait time in Scenario 1 from 14 days to 7 days