Linear cycle 16 begins May 22nd
Potential new bets
- Proposal: Multiple choice contract type, create an overall question, and create answers that are each actually binary markets under the hood, each is the same mechanism as other markets
- Next steps could be: free response; partial resolution (eg of specific answers but not others)
- [D] Would we retroactively apply this to similar markets on Manifold? A lot of people see similar markets and want to get them merge
- [J] Could convert DPM markets
- [J] But otherwise wasn’t planning on doing this
- [S] Kind of separate question; maybe show related markets to yours while creating
- First priority might be just a collection of independent binary markets
- [A] Yeah this is straightforwardly good and within Manifold’s core mission
- Proposal: Primary: Ian, Secondary: Inga
- Organize items in feed by new activity
- Twitter-like floating button with arrow and user avatars showing new activity
- [iw] oh more things should be added to feed that isn’t just binary markets (i.e. posts, group suggestions, non binary markets, stonks)
- [S] Feed development has been one of the most costly bets in terms of our time
- Majority of power users don’t use it as all…
- [i] But the alpha is in going out and finding closing soon, forgotten or fresh scraps, not by going to the watering hole where everyone else is hanging out. power users are out searching/hunting.
- [iw] Feed is very important
- [c] we just need to improve the algorithm to include recency
- [J] Disagree. It has to feel comprehensive and not arbitrary
- [J] Pro throw something quickly out there and see what people think
- [s] How dense should the feed be?
- [i] gives a good reason to keep coming back to the app. As it is now you don’t get new stuff/updates, but with the live feed after you take a break for a few hours you’ll probably have some new stuff to come back to and check out
- [S] Support this conditional on us being able to try things out quickly