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What is a limit order?

Limit orders allow you to place a prediction at a specific probability, rather than just the current market probability. This means you can set up ‘open orders’ that wait for other users to come and trade against. All open limit orders can be viewed in the order book.

Advantages of limit orders

How to place a limit order

explanation for limit order.png

EXAMPLE

Imagine you think there is a 30% chance or less that humans go to Mars before 2030. The market probability is currently below or at 30%. In this situation, you could set a limit order to bet NO at 30%. Whenever another user comes along to bet an amount on yes that would push it above 30% they will fulfil your order. In effect, you automatically immediately buy the market back down to 30% after they try to move the probability above it. If you place a very large bet, multiple users could bet yes against you until eventually the max amount of Mana you set for the order is fulfilled.

Maybe you are confident the chance lies in the range of 25%-30%. In this case, you could also set two limit orders. One to bet Yes at 25% and one to bet No at 30%. This can be done by filling out both boxes when submitting an order. You only have to put both an upper and lower bound if you want to. It is perfectly okay just to set one or the other!

limit order example.png

  1. Place your limit order. If you place an upper and lower bound then when fully filled equal shares of each type will have been bought.
  2. View your open orders.
  3. If another user bets (in this case, Dev Manifold Markets) you will see your limit order updated showing how much it has been filled. In this case, M$217 worth of No shares was bought.

How do I predict and trade on a question?


How do I place a bet?

What is one-click betting?

What is a limit order?

Why would you sell your shares?

Are there any fees when betting?

Help, Guides & FAQ


FAQ

How do I predict and trade on a question?

How do I ask a question and create a market?

How do markets work?

Advice on using Manifold

How can I find interesting markets?

How does the Manifold Twitch bot work?