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Introduction to Manifold Markets
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How do payouts work?
Fixed pay-out
- Used by binary markets (YES/NO)
- Used by Numeric markets
- Users’ potential profits are locked in at the moment they place their trade. The amount is determined by how many shares they buy. This means subsequent bets by other users on a market do not affect a previous trader’s profit on resolution.
Variable pay-out
- Used by DPM markets (Free Response)
- Users’ potential profit is not locked in when they bet.
- When the market resolves, it takes into account the final distribution of shares across answers to determine a user’s pay-out.
- For example, say you choose the correct answer so will make a profit when the market resolves. If since the time of betting the probability of the answer you chose has decreased (other users have bet on other answers) then you will win more Mana. However, if since the time of betting lots of users have chosen the same answer as you then you will make less. Betting earlier at a lower probability is still advantageous and you will make more money than those who bet later but will still be lowered overall.
FAQ
How can I earn mana?
What are shares?
How do payouts work?
What is the liquidity pool?
What is volume?
What are loans?
How can I turn off emails and other notifications?
Help, Guides & FAQ
FAQ
How do I predict and trade on a question?
How do I ask a question and create a market?
How do markets work?
Advice on using Manifold
How can I find interesting markets?
How does the Manifold Twitch bot work?